Infos über Gesundheit

Zal de prijs van Bitcoin snel onder de 50000 dollar zakken?

Nu Bitcoin boven de 56.000 dollar wordt verhandeld, denken kleine handelaren misschien dat ze de kans hebben gemist om onder de 50.000 dollar te kopen toen de prijs laag was in verhouding tot de enorme prijsstijgingen die de koningsmunt deze marktcyclus heeft aangetrokken. Het bereiken van een waardering van $1 triljoen heeft de institutionele instroom Crypto Revolt in Bitcoin en de belangrijkste altcoins vergroot. Op dit moment, nu de open rente en het handelsvolume voor Bitcoin-futures op derivatenbeurzen blijven pieken, bestaat de vrees dat een prijscorrectie onder de 50000 dollar een golf van liquidaties kan veroorzaken en een negatief effect op de lange termijn kan hebben op de prijs.

De huidige Bitcoin-stierloop verschilt in veel opzichten van de vorige, maar dit garandeert niet dat er geen correctie zal komen. Het garandeert ook niet dat de gecombineerde marktkapitalisatie van Bitcoin en altcoins samen geen dipje zal krijgen. Aangezien institutionele aankopen zijn doorgegaan tijdens verschillende koersen in de huidige prijsrally, zou dit een negatief rendement betekenen voor de portefeuilles van institutionele beleggers.

Toen de prijs voor het eerst de $50000 passeerde, werd opgemerkt dat aandelen van instellingen die contant geld van hun balans in Bitcoin hebben geïnvesteerd, sterk gecorreleerd zijn. De rendementen gingen ook omhoog in verhouding tot de prijsrally van Bitcoin. Een dip onder de 50000 dollar kan deze vooruitgang ongedaan maken, tenzij deze van voorbijgaande aard is en de prijs hoger blijft klimmen. Het is echter cruciaal om een punt te bedenken waarop het niet meer rendabel zou zijn om Bitcoin te kopen als u de winst in USD berekent. Momenteel is de ROI/Risico van Bitcoin of de Sharpe Ratio 3,12.

Bron: Woobull Charts

Een waarde boven de drie wordt als uitstekend beschouwd, en de voor risico gecorrigeerde rendementen van Bitcoin zijn winstgevend voor HODLers en beleggers. Hoe lang het winstgevend blijft, hangt af van de trend in de prijsrally, komende trendomkeringen, en de aankoopprijs. Instituten zoals Grayscale hebben Bitcoin gekocht op een geplande manier waarbij ze het gemiddelde van de prijs nemen en dit is tot nu toe ideaal, met de huidige staat van Bitcoin’s prijsrally.

Deze metriek wijst er ook op dat een daling onder de 50000 dollar nog lang niet in zicht is, tenzij een belangrijke trigger de trend omkeert. Verschillende kleine handelaren staan ook in de rij op beurzen om Bitcoin boven de 50000 dollar te kopen, wat duidelijk wordt door het handelsvolume van Bitcoin op spotbeurzen. Aangezien het handelsvolume op de spotmarkten blijft stijgen, zelfs op het huidige prijsniveau, is het waarschijnlijk dat $50000 in de toekomst kritieke steun wordt voor Bitcoin, net zoals $35000 dat deed in de vorige fase van de huidige prijsrally.

While fund provider CoinShares suspects institutional investors to take profits for Bitcoin, Polkadot (DOT) can underline its strong performance in recent weeks. The market update.

The Bitcoin course is still in the crab – with a delicate negative sign

At the time of writing, the # 1 cryptocurrency is trading at $ 34,570. Within the last 24 hours, BTC has posted a minus of around 2 percent.

The Bitcoin rate for the past 24 hours. Left: trading volume in BTC. BTC was able to recover from the nightcap to USD 33,500 – but not much more.

In order for the bull to pick up again, the first step is to recapture the resistance at $ 35,000. Otherwise there is a risk of slipping to the next support at USD 33,770. You can find a detailed description of the bullish and bearish scenarios for the Bitcoin Era rate in the current rate analysis .

Are the „Instis“ pushing the Bitcoin rate?

The fact that the Bitcoin price is currently struggling to sustainably overcome the 35,000 US dollars could be accompanied by increased selling pressure from institutional investors, namely in the form of crypto investment funds. Fund provider Coinshares noted in its weekly asset flow report for the past week an inflow of 359 million US dollars into crypto funds – a level that was last achieved in the time before Christmas. However, funds already sold crypto assets for the second week in a row – above all Bitcoin – this time for the equivalent of 85 million US dollars. Coinshares is assuming profit-taking, who want to benefit from the recent sharp rise in the Bitcoin price.

Strong dollar = weak bitcoin?

Another explanation is provided by Coinshares with an allegedly increased Trade Weighted US Dollar Index. This metric, developed by the US Federal Reserve, determines the purchasing power of the US dollar by comparing it with a basket of 26 fiat currencies.

Bitcoin will soon have completed sub-wave 5 of its wave 5.

BTC could peak between $ 29,800 and $ 33,500.

The price completed a short term 4th wave pullback.

On December 27, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) reached a new all-time high of $ 28,422.

Despite the continued rise, the wave count suggests that Bitcoin News Trader is rapidly approaching the peak of its current movement. This could indicate that a corrective movement will take place shortly.

Click here to view the previous Bitcoin wave analysis articles by BeInCrypto.

Bitcoin’s long-term wave count

BTC’s long-term tally shows that price is approaching the peak of the wave 3 cycle (in white), and that it is currently in its wave 5 (in blue).

When it has peaked and the corrective movement begins, we would expect a correction covering the entire movement started in September.

In addition, due to the hollow wave 2 (indicated in red) and the principle of alternation , one would expect a much deeper wave 4. The latter could bring BTC down to $ 19,137 or $ 16,943, which is the 0.5-0.618 fibonacci retracement level of the entire movement.

Cryptocurrency trader @TheTradinghubb pointed to a BTC chart indicating a possible high between $ 29,000 and $ 32,000. The wave count dovetails with the one we highlighted, and in which BTC is completing wave 5 of the wave 3 cycle.

The possible peak of Bitcoin

Further observation of the movement shows that BTC is also in sub-wave 5 (in orange) of wave 5 (in blue).

Using a fibonacci extension on sub-wave 1, we get a potential target near $ 29,800 or $ 33,600. These are the 3.61 and 4.61 fibonacci extensions of sub-wave 1.

Finally, the shorter-term, two-hour chart shows that after breaking through a 4th wave triangle , BTC has completed minor sub-waves 1-4 (in black).

Thus, the BTC appears to be in sub-wave 5 minor (in black) of sub-wave 5 (in blue) of wave 5 (in orange) of the cycle of wave 3. We therefore expect a correction. considerable once this movement is finalized.

Finally, the shorter 30-minute chart suggests a final minor sub-wave rise before BTC peaks. This is noticeable thanks to the 4th wave fallback formation.

A decline below the top of Minor Subwave 1, at $ 24,661, would suggest the correction has started.

Bitcoin’s price is expected to complete another short-term upswing towards $ 29,800 before initiating a correction.

The bitcoin price has held fairly steady below $24,000, with sellers unable to firmly chip away at its strength despite weakness seen in altcoins.

BTC’s dominance has risen rapidly as it sucks the oxygen out of the space, with analysts widely targeting continued strength against the altcoins.

However, Bitcoin System app still has some major hurdles in its way that could continue to hinder its growth and prevent a massive uptrend.

This includes the massive resistance between $24,000 and $24,200, and whether or not it can break above this level should provide serious insight into its prospects.

An on-chain analyst explains that certain Coinbase transactions confirm a trend of institutional accumulation.

Bitcoin has been consolidating over the past week and has seen some tumultuous price action that has seen it hover between $22,000 and highs of $24,200. The selling pressure here has been pretty significant.

Still, any rejection and subsequent decline was quickly absorbed by the bulls – suggesting that there is a strong likelihood that another rise is imminent.

An on-chain analyst also notes that transaction activity on Coinbase indicates institutional engagement in the market, including what appears to be a recent transaction of 12,006 BTC sent to various OTC-related cold wallets.

Bitcoin shows signs of strength as altcoins plummet

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $23,730, which is roughly the price at which it has been trading in recent days.

Selling pressure between $24,000 and $24,200 has triggered several strong sell-offs, but there is a possibility that the bulls will be able to catalyze further gains in the medium term.

This possibility stems from the strong reactions Bitcoin has shown after each sell-off. The bears have been unable to gain serious ground in recent weeks.
On-chain data points to institutional accumulation

One factor that could support Bitcoin in the near term is the sheer amount of institutional exposure to the market at this point.

The CEO of analytics platform CryptoQuant is now watching transactions flow to OTC-related wallets from Coinbase.

„A few hours ago, 12,006 BTC flowed out of Coinbase. As I said, it went to custody-like wallets. It seems Coinbase is making a new cold wallet for every customer after the OTC deal for institutions. I’m very bullish on BTC.“

These types of institutional accumulation trends usually take place days before the cryptocurrency price spikes rapidly.

Even a small investment from insurance companies and pension funds could be significant for Bitcoin.

MassMutual’s $100 million purchase of Bitcoin (BTC) shows that demand for cryptocurrencies will continue to grow, according to strategists at major investment bank JPMorgan.

In a note to investors on 11 December, JPMorgan strategists, including Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, said bitcoin adoption will now expand from family businesses and high-net-worth investors to larger investors, such as insurance companies and pension funds.

As Bloomberg reported, the experts said it was unlikely Crypto Revolt that insurance companies and pension funds would invest large amounts in Bitcoin. But even a small shift towards crypto could be significant.

If pension funds and insurance companies in the United States, the eurozone, the United Kingdom and Japan invested 1 per cent of their assets in bitcoin, bitcoin demand would grow by $600 billion, the strategists calculated. That is almost twice the market capitalisation of Bitcoin. This currently stands at 356 billion US dollars, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

The JPMorgan strategists wrote: „MassMutual’s Bitcoin purchases are another milestone in Bitcoin acceptance by institutional investors. […] One can see the potential demand that could emerge in the coming years as other insurance companies and pension funds follow MassMutual’s lead.“

Massachusetts-based insurance company MassMutual announced on 11 December the firm had bought 100m in bitcoin and added it to its general investment account. MassMutual told Cointelegraph that the investment was part of an overall strategy. The aim of this strategy, it said, was to „achieve measured but meaningful exposure to a growing economic aspect of our increasingly digital world.“

In addition to MassMutual, MicroStrategy, a large institutional firm, has also bought Bitcoin. The company announced it would raise $400 million in a securities offering to invest the money in BTC. MicroStrategy has made Bitcoin its primary asset after buying US$425 million worth of Bitcoin in August and September.

Ray Dalio gère le plus grand hedge fund au monde.

Dalio est un ours Bitcoin de longue date, le décrivant auparavant comme inférieur à l’or.

Les fondamentaux qui sous-tendent la dernière course haussière l’ont peut-être amené à changer d’avis sur Bitcoin

Le fondateur de Bridgewater Associates, Ray Dalio, a publié une série de tweets concernant les fondamentaux de Bitcoin le 17 novembre après avoir été surpris de voir BTC traverser 17000 $.

Dalio a reconnu que ses analyses baissières pouvaient être erronées, ajoutant qu’il «aimerait être corrigé».

Dalio a précédemment déclaré que le Bitcoin est inférieur à l’or et inefficace en tant que moyen d’échange ou réserve de valeur.

Plus tôt ce mois-ci, Dalio a même affirmé que Bitcoin serait probablement interdit s’il devenait un jour «matériel», ajoutant que la crypto ne réussira pas comme les gens l’espèrent.

Dalio a-t-il une seconde réflexion sur Bitcoin?

L’ours franc de Bitcoin est peut-être en train de changer d’avis, ouvrant un débat sur Twitter autour de la principale crypto-monnaie au monde.

Alors que Dalio s’en tient à ses armes, pour l’instant, affirmant que les gouvernements mondiaux sont plus susceptibles d’interdire Bitcoin que de l’adopter, c’est la première fois qu’il reconnaît qu’il n’a peut-être pas une vue d’ensemble. D’anciens ours Bitcoin comme Jamie Dimon et Michael Saylor se sont récemment tournés vers Bitcoin, ce qui peut avoir eu un impact sur l’analyse de Dalio. La course haussière actuelle est également assez distincte de la frénésie FOMO en 2017, avec des fondamentaux beaucoup plus solides qui sous-tendent l’action actuelle des prix .

I følge en ny rapport fra Glassnode kan 98% av de ubrukte transaksjonene på Bitcoin-nettverket lett selges for fortjeneste. Beregningen viser at Bitcoins er verdt mer i dag enn de var da de ble deponert i lommebøkene.

Stigende Bitcoin-priser fører til fortjeneste

Bitcoins pris steg nylig over $ 13 000 heie investorer over hele verden med den økende verdien av deres stack. Glassnode bemerket i en tweet at nivået ikke har blitt rørt siden 2017, og denne typen bevegelse er typisk i et oksemarked. Den nye beregningen antyder at nesten all Bitcoin som er deponert i lommebøker akkurat nå, kan selges for fortjeneste. Dette betyr at myntene ble kjøpt for mindre enn dagens markedsverdi og allerede gir et overskudd for eierne. Spørsmålet er om du skal kjøpe bitcoin?

Glassnode refererer til ubrukte transaksjoner eller UTXOer, noe som betyr Bitcoin som en bruker har rett til å selge.

Hva er poenget med beregningen?

Det Glassnode egentlig prøver å fremstille er at den stigende prisen på Bitcoin hjelper til med å gjøre de fleste innehavere av mynten lønnsomme. Minst 98% av lommebøkene som holder Bitcoin, vil kunne selge myntene sine med fortjeneste hvis de kom inn på markedene i dag. Bitcoin har hatt et rettferdig løp i 2020. I mars i år hadde mynten knapt berørt $ 4000, men har siden gått kontinuerlig opp for å nå $ 13.000.

Den nylige tyren for mynten er også en rekord i 87 dager for mynten over $ 10.000-marken, noe som har bidratt til å øke investorens tillit til markedet. I det siste kvartalet har desentralisert finans (DeFi) -sektoren bidratt til å bringe interessen tilbake til kryptomarkedene. Ethereum-nettverket har imidlertid vært den største mottakeren av trenden, der de fleste av DeFi-prosjektene ligger. Likevel kan veksten i markedene, kombinert med bull run, bringe flere investorer i markedet.